I’ve decided to keep track of my profits and loss and after two posts it isn’t going too badly. Had I included all the selections I’d tentatively picked out I may well be up but in the interests of fairness I’m just counting the main choices and I’m a little down. Using a simple system of one point per bet I’m on -0.64, which isn’t too bad all things considered.
Anyway, there’s a full round of Serie A fixtures this week and I’ll use that as a chance to get back into profit with three home teams.
First up I’ve gone for Frosinone to beat Carpi in a clash between two promoted sides. Carpi have won just once in their opening nine games, with six losses and two draws, as they sit bottom of Serie A. Carpi were beaten by fellow struggles Bologna at home last time out and you feel it could be a very long season for them in the elite Italian division. Frosinone have fared a little better and they head into tonight’s game on the back of two consecutive home victories, over Empoli and Sampdoria, and at a best price of 7/5 I think they’re good value for the win.
Torino were one of my home bankers last season and they’re showing similar form in Turin this year, with four wins and one draw in their last five fixtures. Il Toro host Genoa today and at 21/20 they’re worth backing. Genoa have four losses and one draw in their last five away games and they could well be heading for more misery on their travels this evening.
My final pick takes place on Thursday as Sampdoria host Empoli and at a best price 11/8 Samp are hard to ignore. The Genoa outfit have won four out of their five Serie A home games to date this term, only Lazio have a better home record, while Empoli have struggled for points on their travels with one win and three defeats in the league to date.
I’ll be backing this as a treble but for the interests of the profit loss system I’m using I’ll count these as singles, largely because any more maths will just confuse the shit out of me.
I can assure you I get the occasional big win in, at the weekend I landed a 30/1 fourfold (Swansea, Brentford, Burton and Middlesbrough) but as I didn’t tip it up on here you’ll just have to believe me, or lambaste me as a filthy lying scumbag if that’s your prerogative. I’m not affiliated with any bookmakers or services but I’m using oddschecker for the best prices and they’re well worth a look for any serious gambler.