If at first you don’t succeed…

Needless to say, the midweek Serie A bets did not go well.  I went in down and ended up losing another 0.60 so I’m now over a point down with a one point per bet system after nine attempts. Had Torino not conceded an equaliser with the last kick of the game I’d be up, but they did, and I’m not – so we go again.

Of course losing is half of gambling, maybe more for most people, and without it winning wouldn’t be so sweet and so on and so forth…  I’ll get my excuses out now and hopefully I won’t have to use them again.

Watford had a good win at Stoke last weekend and Troy Deeney grabbed a goal so maybe going against them is a mistake but regardless of that I do fancy West Ham.  I covered that game and I’m not sure how good the Hornets actually were last week, Stoke had a lot of the ball but didn’t do much with it and Geoff Cameron going off early destabilised them a bit.  The Hammers have a decent away record this year and Watford just can’t seem to score at home, although I have a feeling Deeney might be a bit more dangerous now he’s got one.  This one is close but my gut is saying West Ham and at 2/1 they’re worth the risk.

There isn’t much else grabbing me in the Premier League in all honesty, if I was in profit I might have a punt on Crystal Palace at home to Manchester United at around 3/1, simply as Louis van Gaal’s men aren’t scoring and played in midweek, but I’m not that confident.  Leicester are also worth a mention but at 8/5 against a West Brom team who could frustrate them I think they’re too short a price.  The Baggies don’t concede many and are fairly reluctant to really push forward, which could render Leicester’s counter-attacking style pointless if they don’t score early.

Instead I’ve decided to put one point on a Championship double that pays out at 27/10, with Burnley a top price of 4/5 to beat Huddersfield and Middlesbrough at 4/9 to down Charlton. At home both the Clarets and Boro should be too strong for their respective opponents and I’m thinking doubling up makes sense as I try and claw back some losses.

Despite my midweek struggles in Serie A I’m going to finish with another from Italy and go for a Roma win at Inter Milan at 13/8.  Inter have picked up a lot of points but they’re yet to really impress in terms of a great performance.  Roma beat early Scudetto rivals Fiorentina last weekend and you get the sense they’re starting to smell some silverware after years of playing second fiddle to Juventus.  Roma have managed 10 goals in just five away games this season and only one side, Inter as it happens, have a better record on their travels so far this term.  Again this is another close one, but Roma just have that bit more cohesion and quality about them and I reckon they’ll just edge it.

Profit/loss: -1.24

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