Ok, the despair has dissipated somewhat after Thursday. I got two out of four right with Rubin Kazan and Ajax winning and had I gone for singles that would have been a small profit but I went with a fourfold so it wasn’t. Dortmund were maybe hard done by, they conceded an early penalty then dominated throughout but couldn’t get back in the game at Krasnodar. Fiorentina nearly won despite being reduced to 10 men, so at least my thinking was sound.
And now we go again, I still wouldn’t recommend following these picks this is just for fun now until I get back into the rhythm. The gambling gods are not on my side right now but these things tend to turn at some point.
There are two away teams I really fancy in the Premier League on Saturday, Watford at Aston Villa and Everton at Bournemouth. Villa were terrible in their defeat at Everton last time out, having held Man City in the previous round of fixtures, while Watford were unlucky not to take a point against Man United. The Cherries, meanwhile, have a shocking home record but they are probably playing better than their results suggest, I just think Everton will be a bit too strong.
I also like the look of Stoke at Sunderland, despite their win at Crystal Palace on Monday. The Potters have got a good away record (four wins in their last five, all 1-0) and Sunderland still look fairly poor to me, they rode their luck a bit at Selhurst Park.
Everton are 6/4, Watford are 9/5 and Stoke are 7/5 with Betfair, who aren’t the best price for all but seem to represent the best value as a treble, and that pays back at 16/1 or thereabouts. I’ll stick two points on this one as I continue my so far ridiculous chase of a profit.