Gonzo’s Betting Diary; Knowing When to Give Up

I’ve got mixed feelings about last weekend, I still feel my logic was fairly sound but only one out of the four came in. If I was sensible I’d give up but fortunately I’m not.

It is going so badly that I’m just going to throw caution to the wind this week and go for some big odds, the battles already been lost- I’m Custer, putting all his eggs in the basket of Little Bighorn, but maybe it’ll work out for me…

Probably not, here goes anyway.

Watford v Newcastle

Watford beat Newcastle in the FA Cup earlier this month, the Hornets are fairly decent at home and Newcastle have lost four of their last five away.  Conventional wisdom suggests a home win but I’ve got an inkling the Toon may just spring a surprise.  They’ve looked pretty good over the last few weeks and Jonjo Shelvey could prove to be an astute buy, and at 29/10 they’re certainly a risk but one I’ll be taking.

West Brom v Aston Villa

If you thought picking Newcastle out was crazy, how about Villa to win at West Brom and both teams to score? Sounds insane, but the Baggies have managed just one clean sheet in the last five home games, while Villa have scored in all but one of their previous five on the road. Villa head into it in reasonable form and at 17/2 with both to score it is worth a small stake – as always I’ll be adding it to the treble but if this was a tipping service I wouldn’t recommend it for guaranteed profit, it is a Hollywood bet.

Oldham v Bury

Oldham fans have witnessed just one home win all season so they’re always worth considering backing against at Boundary Park.  Bury aren’t great away from home but 2/1 on the Shakers can’t be ignored.

That makes this a 104/1 treble, worth a quid or two surly?

 Follow/abuse us on Twitter @GonzoSportsDesk, we’re not fancy we follow back.

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