It has been a while but the betting diary is back. This was going so badly that I decided to stop, then lo and behold I started winning again. I’m not a tipster, I don’t post on Twitter about guaranteed winners, or systems – I’m a straight-up gambler. And as such, I took it as a lucky sign that the week I decided to stop posting was when I started bringing in a healthy profit again, and for a few weeks it worked. But the luck has run out now and last week was particularly tough – two four folds let down by one match in each, both of those games ended in draws.
So I’m back with a slightly different format and a more ambitious attitude. Fortune favours the brave etc.
The Outsiders Treble
I love looking for value and Las Palmas at Granada sticks out like a goth in Sports Direct. Struggling Granada are unbeaten in five at home but all of those opponents have been fairly weak, or mid-table teams with little to play for. Las Palmas however, are one of the form teams in La Liga – over the last 10 games they’ve picked up more points than Barcelona and at a top price 29/5 (mostly 11/2) they cannot be ignored.
West Ham are 11/10 to win at West Brom and they’re worth adding to this treble (admittedly they’re not the outsiders in this fixture but odds against is good enough). The Baggies managed a huge draw at Spurs last time out and that kind of result can go one way at this stage of the season – either it inspires them to a grandstand finish now they’ve got nothing to play for, or it took a lot out of them. I’m banking on option B and as the Hammers are still pushing for Europe they’ll see this as one they should win.
It is party time for Rotherham United as they’ve successfully avoided the drop, Blackburn meanwhile are ending what has to be viewed as a disappointing season with uncertainty behind the scenes. This doesn’t always impact on the performance on the pitch but in any case I reckon the Millers will want to put on a show in their last home game so I’ll be on them at 6/4, making this a tidy 33.59 (just shy of 33/1) treble.
Portsmouth are in the play-offs now, maybe they’ll rest some players at Hartlepool as automatic looks too far away, even though it is mathematically possible. The Pools are looking to bounce back after two defeats with a newish manager in charge so there is some motivation there. Big call but a 10/1 Hartlepool win with both teams to score is what makes this a Hollywood bet.
Still in League Two, Wimbledon are 3/1 at Stevenage with both teams to score and in League One Millwall at 13/4 to do the same to a visiting Oldham side.
This ambitious punt splashes out 175.95 (almost 175/1), worth a nibble surely?
This was written on Thursday evening and published on Friday so the odds may have changed. I use Oddschecker, but am in no way affiliated with them.